Case 6

The Winter Shelter Forecast

Open the file, inspect the artifacts, and decide what the evidence can support before the replay appears.

Case intake

The Winter Shelter Forecast

The city housing office is preparing the winter shelter plan. A model trained on five years of nightly shelter records says 82 overflow beds should cover the expected peak. The council packet, staffing request, and nonprofit partner contracts are due Friday.

You are the public service data scientist reviewing the forecast before the number becomes an operating plan.

Open audio file
Council packet voicemailDeputy Director, Housing Services
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The model says eighty-two overflow beds at peak. I need a number for the council packet by Friday, and I would rather not ask for a larger line unless the evidence really supports it.

Evidence board

Work the scene

Inspect artifacts in any order. Sort what each one does, cite the few you would rely on, then assemble a final judgment with confidence.

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